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Daily Active Users Dropped 5% - Diagnose It
The most common analytical PM case. They want a structured, hypothesis-driven investigation - not a guess.
Interview prompt
Daily active users (DAU) dropped 5% week-over-week. How do you investigate?
What interviewers evaluate
- Do you clarify before diving in (define DAU, confirm it's real, the timeframe)?
- Do you rule out measurement/data issues first?
- Do you decompose systematically (segment by platform, geo, cohort, channel)?
- Do you separate internal causes (releases) from external (seasonality, competitors, outages)?
- Do you form testable hypotheses and propose how to confirm each?
A framework to structure your answer
- Clarify - define DAU precisely, confirm magnitude and window, check if it's a sudden cliff or gradual decline.
- Rule out data issues - logging/tracking change, a metric-definition change, or a reporting bug before assuming a real drop.
- Internal vs external - did we ship a release, change onboarding/pricing? Or is it seasonality, a holiday, a competitor, or a platform/outage event?
- Segment to localize - break the drop down by platform (iOS/Android/web), geography, new vs returning, acquisition channel, and feature. A uniform drop vs a concentrated one means very different things.
- Form hypotheses - from where the drop concentrates, propose specific causes.
- Confirm & act - validate the leading hypothesis with data/logs; propose a fix or mitigation.
Strong sample answer
Try structuring your own answer first, then reveal a strong worked example.
Common variants
- Conversion rate dropped 10% - what do you do?
- Revenue is flat but users are growing - why?
- Engagement is up but retention is down - explain.
Pitfalls to avoid
- Guessing a single cause immediately instead of structuring the investigation.
- Skipping the data-integrity check (often the actual culprit).
- Not segmenting - a 5% aggregate drop could be a 50% drop in one segment.
- Confusing internal causes with external ones.
- Stating hypotheses without saying how you'd confirm them.
Likely follow-ups
- You find it's only Android. What now?
- How would you prevent this from going unnoticed next time?
- The drop is real and external (a competitor launched). How do you respond?