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Daily Active Users Dropped 5% - Diagnose It

The most common analytical PM case. They want a structured, hypothesis-driven investigation - not a guess.

Interview prompt

Daily active users (DAU) dropped 5% week-over-week. How do you investigate?

What interviewers evaluate

  • Do you clarify before diving in (define DAU, confirm it's real, the timeframe)?
  • Do you rule out measurement/data issues first?
  • Do you decompose systematically (segment by platform, geo, cohort, channel)?
  • Do you separate internal causes (releases) from external (seasonality, competitors, outages)?
  • Do you form testable hypotheses and propose how to confirm each?

A framework to structure your answer

  1. Clarify - define DAU precisely, confirm magnitude and window, check if it's a sudden cliff or gradual decline.
  2. Rule out data issues - logging/tracking change, a metric-definition change, or a reporting bug before assuming a real drop.
  3. Internal vs external - did we ship a release, change onboarding/pricing? Or is it seasonality, a holiday, a competitor, or a platform/outage event?
  4. Segment to localize - break the drop down by platform (iOS/Android/web), geography, new vs returning, acquisition channel, and feature. A uniform drop vs a concentrated one means very different things.
  5. Form hypotheses - from where the drop concentrates, propose specific causes.
  6. Confirm & act - validate the leading hypothesis with data/logs; propose a fix or mitigation.

Strong sample answer

Try structuring your own answer first, then reveal a strong worked example.

Common variants

  • Conversion rate dropped 10% - what do you do?
  • Revenue is flat but users are growing - why?
  • Engagement is up but retention is down - explain.

Pitfalls to avoid

  • Guessing a single cause immediately instead of structuring the investigation.
  • Skipping the data-integrity check (often the actual culprit).
  • Not segmenting - a 5% aggregate drop could be a 50% drop in one segment.
  • Confusing internal causes with external ones.
  • Stating hypotheses without saying how you'd confirm them.

Likely follow-ups

  • You find it's only Android. What now?
  • How would you prevent this from going unnoticed next time?
  • The drop is real and external (a competitor launched). How do you respond?